Jim

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Cranky Swamp Yankee

Politics & Legal > Drilling or Speculation?
 

Drilling or Speculation?


George W. and John McSame would have us all believe that the solution to high oil prices is to open up the national preserves and the coastal waters of the U.S. to as much drilling and exploration as possible. They seem to think that will bring down oil prices because the rise in prices is a direct result of supply and demand. In other words, prices are high and going higher because there is not enough oil being produced to meet the global demand. Therefore, oil is a scarce commodity. Scarce commodities have high price tags.
There are two problems with this line of thinking.
The first is that, it is estimated that all of the oil reserves that lie under American soil and American waters constitute about three percent of the yearly global demand for oil. Three percent. That’s it. And when the oil is drilled and flowing through the pipeline, it will not stay in the U.S. It will go into the global pool and be sold all over the world.
So, the oil sucked out of our soil will more than likely go to India or China. (Did you know that the lion’s share of oil coming through the Alaskan Pipeline is consumed overseas, mostly in Japan? Almost none of it stays in this country.)
AND, once the oil companies find new oil reserves, it will take about SIX YEARS for that oil to make it to the pipelines. So, even if ALL of the oil pulled out American soil stayed in America, it would take SIX YEARS for it to have it’s negligible effect on the economy.
Obama and the Democrats, on the other hand, believe the experts, including the current administration’s oil industry experts, who say that the high cost of oil today is a direct result of speculation. That is why the price per barrel increases dramatically when people fear that the oil rigs and refineries in the Gulf of Mexico are going to damaged by oncoming hurricanes.
When we hear that Hurricane Beelzebub is bearing down on the oil rigs off the Texas shore, does the price of a barrel of oil immediately go sky high because there is a sudden increase in global demand? No! Even the oil companies concede that, in situations like that, the prices go up because of speculation. Investors SPECULATE that there might be a disruption of the pipelines. SO, the prices increase IN ANTICIPATION of disaster! Supply and demand has nothing to do with it.
Today, when the world got wind that The United States Congress was beginning debates on whether to do something to curtail oil speculation, the global price of oil suddenly plummeted by over three dollars per barrel to its the lowest point in over two months! Now, did the global supply suddenly increase today? Did the global demand suddenly take a dramatic downturn?
No. What happened was the actions of Congress today scared the living crap out of the speculators, and prices tumbled.
Talk about immediate results!
Now, I ask you, would like to see gas and home heating prices start dropping next week, or would you rather wait six years?
That’s what I thought.
You know, somebody really ought to tell John McCain about this. Don’t ya think?

posted on July 22, 2008 7:05 PM ()

Comments:

Excellent points.
comment by drmaus on July 23, 2008 12:51 PM ()
Great post! I suppose if there is any thin silver lining to this awful BS, it's that while people are working to protect their pocketbooks by making more of an effort to drive less, buy locally, and reduce their energy consumption, their actions are also helping to protect Mother Earth. But yeah... it's too bad it has to happen out of sheer necessity than by choice.
comment by mellowdee on July 23, 2008 12:42 PM ()
Ugs!! I saw an ad for McCain saying just that last night. His campaign alone is pushing me more and more towards Obama just to stop what McCain wants to do, ya know? I was thinking I just wouldn't vote for lack of a decent candidate, but I am TRULY thinking Obama is the lesser evil... not to mention how McCain wants to end pro choice - and you know where I stand on that...
OBAMA 08!!!
comment by kristilyn3 on July 23, 2008 6:29 AM ()
Jim: Last six months Exxon bought back their own stock with some of those profits. The rest went as dividends to their shareholders. Their exploration expenditures didn't even come close to what they spent on themselves. Conoco-Phillips spent nine times the amount the put into exploration in buying back their own shares.
comment by jondude on July 23, 2008 5:24 AM ()
I'm getting a Vespa for my birthday and I want T Boone to run for president with Buggs
comment by cindy on July 23, 2008 4:06 AM ()
Great post. Right on target! I just bought a bike.
comment by marta on July 22, 2008 8:56 PM ()
The oil companies already hold unexplored leaseholds. In fact nearly 3/4 of the leaseholds have not been spudded (drilled) in exploration. In the Gulf the percentage is even higher. The head of the Petroleum Institute claims they haven't drilled in these properties because they don't have the equipment to do so. If that's the case, where are they going to get the equipment to look for oil in any of the areas they want permission to drill?

Bunch of phonies.
comment by jondude on July 22, 2008 8:07 PM ()
Alternatives to oil is the only long-term solution, but people can find reasons to ##### about that too. Wind power is viable around here, but one group is complaining that wind turbines kill bats while another group doesn't approve of the aesthetics. If my knees were in better shape and this wasn't the mountains, I'd be riding a bicycle again.
comment by jjoohhnn on July 22, 2008 7:19 PM ()
You are so right.I think you are almost as smart as my Father.Laurie
comment by dogsalot on July 22, 2008 7:13 PM ()
in a perfect world McCain might actually listen as well
comment by ducky on July 22, 2008 7:09 PM ()

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